Patterns and Modeling

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Models help us describe and summarize relationships between variables. Understanding how process variables relate to each other helps businesses predict and improve performance. For example, a marketing manager might be interested in modeling the relationship between advertising expenditures and sales revenues.

Consider the following dataset:

Construct a scatter plot with this data. Do you observe a relationship between both variables?

Use Excel to fit a linear regression line to the data and answer the following questions:

  • What is the fitted regression model? (Hint: You can follow the steps outlined on page 497 of the textbook.)
  • What is the slope? What does the slope tell us? Is the slope significant?
  • What is the intercept? Is it meaningful?
  • What is the value of the regression coefficient, r?
  • What is the value of the coefficient of determination, r^2?
  • What does r^2 tell us?

Use the model to predict sales if the business spends $950,000 on advertising. Does the model underestimate or overestimate sales?

Prepare your graphical and written response in no less than 500 words.

Advertising ($’000)

Sales ($’000)

1068

4489

1026

5611

767

3290

885

4113

1156

4883

1146

5425

892

4414

938

5506

769

3346

677

3673

1184

6542

1009

5088

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